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Head­line hom­icide com­par­is­ons ignore Lon­don’s knife crime

Your edit­or­ial (“Don’t believe the fake gloom about Lon­don”, Decem­ber 20) is right to note that Lon­don’s hom­icide rate remains low by inter­na­tional stand­ards. But the edit­or­ial’s broader asser­tion that Lon­don is “in most ways far safer” rests on a select­ive read­ing of crime indic­at­ors, and down­plays a cat­egory of viol­ence in which Lon­don is a clear inter­na­tional out­lier: knife crime.

Unlike most peer cit­ies, Eng­land and Wales sys­tem­at­ic­ally record and pub­lish “offences involving a knife or sharp instru­ment” per 100,000 inhab­it­ants. On this offi­cial met­ric, Lon­don is not merely worse than other UK regions; it is excep­tional by inter­na­tional stand­ards. In the year end­ing March 2025, the Met­ro­pol­itan Police area recor­ded around 180 kni­fecrime offences per 100,000 res­id­ents, by far the highest rate in Eng­land and Wales. This is not a mar­ginal phe­nomenon. Knife crime in Lon­don includes rob­bery, ser­i­ous assault and hom­icide, and has risen struc­tur­ally over the past dec­ade. The fact that fire­arms are rare does not make the streets benign; it merely shifts the weapon of viol­ence. For vic­tims, the dis­tinc­tion is aca­demic.

Com­par­is­ons with New York, Wash­ing­ton or Paris also require cau­tion. Those cit­ies do not pub­lish a dir­ectly com­par­able, all-offences knife-crime rate per 100,000. Where par­tial indic­at­ors exist (for example hos­pital admis­sions or hom­icide by weapon type), they sug­gest that Lon­don’s pre­val­ence of knife-enabled street viol­ence is unusu­ally high for a wealthy west­ern cap­ital, even if its murder rate remains lower.

Put simply: a low hom­icide rate does not equate to low every­day viol­ence. The absence of guns does not mean the absence of ser­i­ous harm. And Lon­don’s knife-crime fig­ures are not a sideshow; they are a defin­ing fea­ture of its pub­lic­safety land­scape.

Recog­nising this does not mean indul­ging in “fake gloom”. It means avoid­ing the oppos­ite error: com­pla­cency, built on head­line hom­icide com­par­is­ons while ignor­ing the form of viol­ence that Lon­don actu­ally exper­i­ences.

Juer­gen Schau­fler

Blaubeuren, Ger­many

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